1. Yuri Levada: "The Case of Yukos has Become More Habitual"
2. Divide between Educated and Non-Educated
3. Future Scenarios
4. The Myth of Unity
5. The Future of Russian Politics

Yuri Levada: "The Case of Yukos has Become More Habitual"

Initial Shock Subsided

After the arrest of Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the head of VTsIOM-A Professor Yuri Levada conducted a survey, revealing a shift in public opinion regarding the Yukos case. The number of those believing the case is linked to financial machinations increased by 11%, while those perceiving it as beneficial for Russia's political situation rose by 6%.

Divide between Educated and Non-Educated

Levada noted a difference in perspectives between educated and non-educated respondents. The former expressed more concern about the impact on Russia's international image but placed less emphasis on its domestic ramifications. They were more inclined to believe both in financial irregularities and a crackdown on oligarchs related to the elections.

Future Scenarios

Levada predicted the possibility of three scenarios:

1. Heroic:Democratic parties protest, gaining support and potentially increasing their share of the vote.

2. Pessimistic:Parties' actions provoke a backlash and accusations, sidelining their political influence.

3. Inertial:Attention wanes, and the situation remains unchanged from the pre-election status quo.

The Myth of Unity

Levada cited historical precedents from the Stalinist era, where elections were used to demonstrate the unity between the regime and the people, even after the execution of alleged criminals. He suggested that such tactics could be employed in the case of Khodorkovsky to further consolidate power.

The Future of Russian Politics

Levada emphasized the importance of upcoming elections in shaping the political landscape. He observed that while people prioritize basic necessities, parties struggling to win votes may find it challenging to mobilize support.

Professor